Velocity Financial Valuation

VEL Stock  USD 20.29  0.11  0.54%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Velocity Financial Llc has a current Real Value of $16.74 per share. The regular price of the company is $20.29. Our model measures the value of Velocity Financial Llc from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.16, operating margin of 0.65 %, and Shares Outstanding of 38.9 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Velocity Financial's valuation include:
Price Book
1.2401
Enterprise Value
6.8 B
Price Sales
3.4599
Trailing PE
8.3951
Enterprise Value Revenue
24.686
Overvalued
Today
20.29
Please note that Velocity Financial's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Velocity Financial Llc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Velocity Financial's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Velocity stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Velocity Financial Llc. Since Velocity Financial is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Velocity Stock. However, Velocity Financial's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  20.29 Real  16.74 Target  21.67 Hype  20.4 Naive  21.16
The intrinsic value of Velocity Financial's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Velocity Financial's stock price.
16.74
Real Value
22.44
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Velocity Financial Llc helps investors to forecast how Velocity stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Velocity Financial more accurately as focusing exclusively on Velocity Financial's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.580.600.62
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.5820.4022.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
19.3421.1622.98
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
19.7221.6724.05
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Velocity Financial's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Velocity Financial's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Velocity Financial's closest peers.

Velocity Financial Cash

30.78 Million

Velocity Financial Total Value Analysis

Velocity Financial Llc is at this time forecasted to have company total value of 6.85 B with market capitalization of 793.56 M, debt of 4.86 B, and cash on hands of 49.9 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Velocity Financial fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
6.85 B
793.56 M
4.86 B
49.9 M

Velocity Financial Investor Information

About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.24. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Velocity Financial Llc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Velocity Financial Llc is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great chance to report excellent financial results in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.330.23
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income116.4 M110.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Velocity Financial Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Velocity Financial has an asset utilization ratio of 8.73 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.0873 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Velocity Financial Llc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Velocity Financial Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Velocity Financial's profitability measurements, Velocity Financial Llc is yielding more profit at the present time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate chance of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Velocity Financial's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2017-03-31
Previous Quarter
26 M
Current Value
25.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
6.9 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Velocity Financial's Gross Profit is quite stable compared to the past year. Operating Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.33 this year, although the value of Pretax Profit Margin will most likely fall to 0.13.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.530.5
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.330.23
Way Up
Slightly volatile
For Velocity Financial profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Velocity Financial Llc to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Velocity Financial utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Velocity Financial's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Velocity Financial over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Velocity Financial Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Velocity Financial's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Velocity Financial's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Velocity Financial Llc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Velocity Financial is projected to generate 0.6033 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Velocity Financial earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Velocity Financial EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Velocity Financial's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Velocity Financial, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Velocity Financial Ownership Allocation

Velocity Financial Llc shows a total of 38.9 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Velocity Financial Llc outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Velocity Financial to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Velocity Financial Llc. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Velocity Financial Llc as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Velocity Financial Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 482.78 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 68.47 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 165.55 M.

About Velocity Financial Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Velocity Financial Llc. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Velocity Financial Llc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Velocity Financial's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Velocity Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Velocity Financial. We calculate exposure to Velocity Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Velocity Financial's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit242.1 M254.3 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.18  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.23  0.33 
Net Profit Margin 0.13  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.50  0.53 

Velocity Financial Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Velocity Financial does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.485

Velocity Financial Current Valuation Indicators

Velocity Financial's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Velocity Financial's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Velocity Financial, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Velocity Financial's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Velocity Financial's worth.
When determining whether Velocity Financial Llc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Velocity Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Velocity Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Velocity Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Velocity Financial Llc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Velocity Financial. If investors know Velocity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Velocity Financial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.485
Earnings Share
2.43
Revenue Per Share
6.471
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.623
Return On Assets
0.015
Investors evaluate Velocity Financial Llc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Velocity Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Velocity Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Velocity Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Velocity Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Velocity Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.